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Carbon Modelling Results

Modelling shows the region needs to commit to the ‘Accelerated’ scenario to deliver a 94% reduction by 2041.

What does this mean for the first FYP by 2026?

  • Modelling of the ‘Accelerated’ scenario shows that a 33% reduction is possible by 2026 (against a 2016 baseline).
  • The region would be emitting 8.1Mt CO2 per year.
  • The suggested Tyndall Centre target for the region to stay within the Paris Commitment is to emit no more than 4.9Mt CO2 by 2026.
  • This would require radical actions, some of which are not thought feasible in the timescale due to legal, social and financial requirements.