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Carbon modelling results for 2041 and 2026

(Accelerated scenario)

Key Points:

  • Modelling shows implementing all goals gives a 94% reduction by 2041 – net zero is realistic.
  • The ‘accelerated’ scenario results in a 33% reduction to 8.1 MtCO2 per year by 2026 (against a 2016 baseline).
  • Carbon modelling shows that there is a gap between what is technically possible and socially tolerable and the Tyndall target of 4.9MtCO2 per year by 2026.

(Graphic chart can be found in alternative document)